Is Vladimir Guerrero Jr. the Next Juan Soto? The $500 Million Question
With Juan Soto’s free agency dominating last offseason, Vladimir Guerrero Jr. could be the next major name on the market after 2025. Reports suggest that the Toronto Blue Jays have struggled to secure an extension with their star first baseman, who is now looking toward free agency. His rumored asking price? A staggering $500 million for more than 12 years. But given that first basemen have historically been undervalued, does Guerrero truly deserve such a massive contract?
https://t.co/n6XpzVz3bT. MLB Friday notes: One rival GM thinks Vlad Jr. is worth every penny of the $500M (non deferred) request but here’s why the Mets aren’t the likely landing spot
— Jon Heyman (@JonHeyman) March 14, 2025
David Ortiz’s Bold Claim: Guerrero Deserves Even More
Hall of Famer David Ortiz believes Guerrero’s value is undeniable, even suggesting that he should be offered a 13-year, $585 million contract. The 25-year-old slugger had an impressive 2024 season, recording 30 home runs, 103 RBIs, and a .323 batting average. He has also demonstrated his power in spring training, hitting a 117.6 mph single against the Orioles. His .544 slugging percentage and .940 OPS further strengthen his case for a record-breaking deal.
Are the Blue Jays Out of the Running?
Toronto’s chances of retaining Guerrero seem slim, as the two sides have yet to agree on a contract extension. With the Blue Jays last winning a World Series in 1993, Guerrero is prioritizing a team that can help him secure a championship. If the Jays fail to make a deep playoff run in 2025, he could be tempted to leave.
Which Teams Could Sign Guerrero?
One of the biggest potential suitors is the New York Mets, a team with a history of aggressive spending. They previously offered Juan Soto $765 million, so acquiring Guerrero wouldn’t be out of the question. However, MLB insider Jon Heyman reports that the Mets’ president, David Stearns, may be reluctant to spend that much on a first baseman, even one as young and talented as Guerrero.
If the Mets don’t make a move, the Blue Jays might still have a shot. Guerrero has openly expressed his love for Toronto, and a strong 2025 campaign could convince him to stay. A deferred payment structure—similar to what the Dodgers did with Shohei Ohtani—could make a deal more financially viable for the team.
The Blue Jays’ Postseason Push: A Deciding Factor?
Guerrero has made it clear that winning matters. According to MLB insider Rob Longley, Guerrero recently hinted that playing for a “winning team” is a key factor in his decision. The Jays have struggled to attract and retain big-name players, making it even more crucial for them to prove they can compete at the highest level.
If Toronto makes a deep playoff run in 2025, it could convince Guerrero to accept a deal—potentially one that includes deferred payments to ease the financial burden on the team. But if they fall short, the slugger could walk away, leaving the Blue Jays scrambling to replace their franchise star.
Is Guerrero Worth $500 Million?
The debate continues: Is Guerrero truly worth half a billion dollars, or is he overvaluing himself? While some believe he is a game-changing talent, others argue that spending such an amount on a first baseman isn’t a wise investment. With the Mets seemingly hesitant and the Blue Jays in a tough spot, Guerrero’s future remains uncertain.
What do you think? Should the Blue Jays break the bank for Guerrero, or is he setting his sights too high?