The upcoming NFL coaching carousel is expected to generate significant activity, with at least a quarter of the league potentially seeking new head coaches. Among the intriguing possibilities, Texas Longhorns head coach Steve Sarkisian has been mentioned as a potential candidate, according to ESPN’s Adam Schefter. Some NFL teams are reportedly expected to reach out and inquire about Sarkisian’s availability.
NEW: Steve Sarkisian’s contract buyout numbers with Texasđź’°
2024 – $54.4M
2025 – $45.4M
2026 – $36.5M
2027 – $27.5M
2028 – $18.4M
2029 – $9.2M(via @InsideTexas) https://t.co/7bZmpih8XM pic.twitter.com/KQgEKe5knP
— On3 (@On3sports) March 7, 2024
This speculation arises despite Sarkisian having limited NFL coaching experience. His previous roles include serving as the Oakland Raiders quarterbacks coach in 2004 and the Atlanta Falcons offensive coordinator from 2017 to 2020. Since then, Sarkisian has been leading the Texas Longhorns, a tenure highlighted by the team being just two wins away from their first national championship under his leadership.
Assessing Sarkisian’s NFL Prospects
While the idea of Sarkisian transitioning to the NFL is intriguing, several factors complicate the scenario. In February 2024, the Texas Longhorns extended his contract, binding him to the program until 2030. Such a long-term agreement includes a substantial buyout clause, which could deter NFL teams from pursuing him.
Furthermore, Sarkisian is in a favorable position at Texas. He earns a guaranteed $10.3 million per season and oversees one of the most talented rosters in college football. The Longhorns have secured back-to-back appearances in the College Football Playoffs, and with Archie Manning poised to become the team’s next quarterback, the program’s future looks exceptionally bright. Given these circumstances, it seems unlikely that Sarkisian would consider leaving for the NFL at this time.
Challenges for Potential NFL Suitors
Another factor to consider is the current state of NFL coaching opportunities. As of now, three teams—the New York Jets, the Chicago Bears, and the New Orleans Saints—have head coaching vacancies. However, these teams are not known for stable ownership or environments that allow a coach the time needed to build a successful culture. Without a “dream job” opportunity that meets Sarkisian’s standards, his departure from Texas appears improbable.
Comparisons to Other Coaching Transitions
This situation is reminiscent of Dan Hurley’s commitment to his collegiate program rather than an NFL jump like Jim Harbaugh’s. Sarkisian’s decision to remain with Texas would align with a trend of successful college coaches choosing to stay in their favorable collegiate environments rather than taking the uncertain leap to the professional level.
In conclusion, while the idea of Sarkisian moving to the NFL is generating discussion, the logistical, financial, and situational barriers make such a transition unlikely at this time. It appears more plausible that Sarkisian will continue to build his legacy with the Texas Longhorns for years to come.