With just 12 games left in the season, Sheffield United and Burnley appear doomed, 11 points from safety in the Premier League.
However, who else runs the risk of being demoted to the Championship? Which teams will continue to play?
Eight points separate 18th-placed Luton from the five teams directly above them, who are Nottingham Forest, Brentford, Everton, Bournemouth, and Crystal Palace. It appears to be a one-from-six situation.
However, it’s not simple…
Following charges for suspected breaches in their 2022–2023 accounts in January, Everton and Forest are both facing nervous waits.
Forest’s case is scheduled for hearings on March 7 and 8.
Should it be discovered that they violated the regulations, they will lose points. An appeal could be filed against the decision, which is not anticipated until April.
If there is an appeal, the process might continue until May 24, which is one week after the season ends on May 19.
Everton received a 10-point deduction in November for violating the profit and sustainability regulations (PSR) for the three-year term ending in 2021–2022.
After an appeal, the punishment was lowered to six points.
Premier League standings as of March 1st: Team Played Points GD Form (last 5 games)
13. Crystal Palace WLLDW 26–28–13
Bournemouth 25–28–14 DDLDL
Everton 26 25 6 DDLDD 15.
Brentford 26 25 11 LWLLL
17. Forest of Nottingham 26 24 14 LDLWL
Luton Town 25-20-16 WDLLL 18.
Burnley 26 13-33 LDLLL 19.
Sheffield United 20. 26 13 – 44 LLWLL
The Crystal Palace run-in: Tottenham on March 2 (away); Luton on March 9 (home); Nottingham Forest on March 30 (away); Bournemouth on April 2 (away); Man City on April 6 (home); Liverpool on April 14 (away); West Ham on April 20 (home); Fulham on April 27 (away); Man Utd on May 4 (home); Wolves on May 11 (away); Aston Villa on May 19 (home); TBC vs. Newcastle (home).
Bournemouth: 2 April vs Crystal Palace (home); 6 April vs Luton (away); 14 April vs Man Utd (home); 20 April vs Aston Villa (away); 27 April vs Brighton (home); 3 March vs Burnley (away); 9 March vs Sheff Utd (home); 13 March vs Luton (home); 16 March vs Wolves (away); 30 March vs Everton (home); May 4 (away vs. Arsenal); May 11 (home vs. Brentford); and May 19 (away vs. Chelsea).
Everton: March 2 at home against West Ham; March 9 away against Manchester United; March 17 home against Liverpool; and March 30 away against Bournemouth; Newcastle away on April 2; Burnley at home on April 6; Chelsea away on April 15; Nottingham Forest at home on April 20; Brentford at home on April 27; Luton away on May 4; Sheff United at home on May 11; and Arsenal away on May 19.
Brentford’s upcoming fixtures include matches against Chelsea on March 2 (home); Arsenal on March 9; Burnley on March 16; Manchester United on March 30; Brighton on April 3; Aston Villa on April 6; Sheff United on April 13; Luton on April 20; Everton on April 27; Fulham on May 4 (home); Bournemouth on May 11 (away); and Newcastle on May 19 (home).
Nottingham Forest: 2 March at home against Liverpool; 10 March away against Brighton; 16 March away against Luton; 30 March at home against Crystal Palace; The following games are scheduled for April: 2 vs. Fulham (home); 8 vs. Tottenham (away); 13 vs. Wolves (home); 20 vs. Everton (away); 27 vs. Man City (home); 4 vs. Sheff Utd (away); 11 vs. Chelsea (home); and 19 vs. Burnley (away).
Luton Town: 2 March at home against Aston Villa; 9 March away against Crystal Palace; 13 March away against Bournemouth; 16 March at home against Nott’m Forest; 30 March away against Tottenham; 3 April away against Arsenal; 6 April away against Bournemouth; 13 April away against Man City; 20 April at home against Brentford; 27 April away against Wolves; May 4 (home vs. Everton); May 11 (away vs. West Ham); May 19 (home vs. Fulham).
Burnley: home games against Bournemouth on March 3 and West Ham on March 10; road games against Brentford on March 16 and Chelsea on March 30. Wolves at home on April 2; Everton away on April 6; Brighton at home on April 13; Sheff United away on April 20; Man United away on April 27; Newcastle at home on May 4; Tottenham away on May 11; and Nottingham Forest at home on May 19.
Sheffield United: March 4 at home against Arsenal; March 9 away against Bournemouth; March 16 away against Manchester United; March 30 home against Fulham; Liverpool (away), Chelsea (home), Brentford (away), Burnley (home), Newcastle (away), Nottingham Forest (home), Everton (away), and Tottenham (home) are the upcoming matches in April.
“Burnley fans have no interest in this team or manager at all.” “Sad” conclusion for Hodgson at Crystal Palace.
Follow your Premier League team to receive updates, commentary, and fan opinions straight to your inbox.
What suggestions do the prediction models make?
Premier League final table prediction: Nielsen’s Gracenote
Forecasted team points are shown in brackets.percentage of demotionPoints and current position
13. Bournemouth (44), 1st place – 28 points
Crystal Palace (40) – 3rd place, 28 points
Everton (40) 3rd place, 25 points
16. Fourth-place Brentford (40) with 25 points
17. Nottingham Forest (37), tied for 17th place with 24 points
Luton Town (30) – 18th place, 20 points
19. Burnley (23) – 13 points, 99th place
Sheffield United (21) ranked 99.7th, 20th with 13 points.
specialists in data Based on their remaining games, Nielsen’s Gracenote has determined each team’s percentage chance of relegation.
Estimated Premier League standings: Opta Team’s percentage likelihood of relegationPoints and current position
Thirteen Bournemouth14.3 – 28 points, or 0.84
14. Brentford, 16th place, 3.56 points
15. Crystal Palace13.03 – 28 points
16. Everton4.13 Score: 15th out of 25
17. The Nottingham Forest19.18 Rank: 17th to 24 points
18. Luton Town 69.32 points, 18th out of 20
19. Burnley, 19th place, 99.24 points
Sheffield United (20)19th place, 99.58 points
Based on past and present team results, Opta’s “supercomputer” prediction engine calculates the likelihood of every match result (win, draw, or loss) using betting market odds and their own Opta team rankings. The probabilities are generated by simulating these hundreds of times.
Leave a Reply